Blackburn with Darwen health boss our high Covid rates may now help

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 COULD the tragically high rates of Covid-19 infection across Pennine Lancashire since the beginning of the pandemic even have a ‘hidden upside’ as we exit lockdown lifting this summer?


At the top of last week, Lancashire and South Cumbria NHS had completed its first dose vaccination of about 640,000 people out of a complete of slightly below 1.5 million. the primary 50 percent approximately of the population, are those most in danger of hospitalization or death. a minimum of one in 10 people – possibly more- may feel some ‘after effects’ following vaccination.

These include headaches, tiredness, and tenderness where the injection was given; but these effects are usually mild and disappear with no lasting harm within days. there's a national and Systeme International d'Unites to watch and report serious symptoms after vaccination and there's currently no confirmed evidence of any ‘vaccine-attributable’ serious illness or side effects.

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There are and can be, however, continuing reports of individuals who are vaccinated having a subsequent serious illness. this is often inevitable. As we get more and more of the population vaccinated, the intense illness that the overall population is inevitably subject to, will still occur – a number of it after, but not in the least associated with the vaccination itself.

A research program called SIREN has reviewed the consequences of both innate immunity (from the previous infection) and vaccination immunity and it brings excellent news this month. Earlier SIREN research showed that 83 percent of individuals infected with Covid-19 (but not yet vaccinated) had some protection against reinfection –for a minimum of five months, probably more. In February 2021, SIREN published findings to mention that previously uninfected healthcare workers were 72 percent less likely to develop an infection after one dose of the vaccine, rising to 86 percent after the second dose. the newest report says: “SIREN found that that this protection also helps to scale back the spread of infection. The SIREN study has now answered the question of whether the vaccination program will help end lockdown restrictions: the solution is – in parallel with other measures including maintaining hand hygiene, using face coverings, and observing social distancing – a cautious, careful, but optimistic ‘yes’.”

These new findings pose an intriguing question for Pennine Lancashire. On January 1, Blackburn with Darwen, Pendle, and Burnley was the three local authorities within the UK with the very best cumulative case rates. We may therefore have one among the most important populations within the country with a mixture of both immunities from vaccination and post-infection innate immunity.

Although we do have a way higher risk of continued cases as lockdown lifts, could this combined immunity effect deliver less transmission, infection, hospitalizations, and deaths than other areas, with less risk-but much less overall immunity? Might this neutralize our risk of further localized lockdowns?

We simply don’t know the answer; time will tell. we'll just get to stick with the principles – but we could keep our fingers crossed!

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